https://log.jasongodfrey.info Last 10 notes on 🗂️ Mission Log Quartz -- quartz.jzhao.xyz https://log.jasongodfrey.info/ https://log.jasongodfrey.info/ This is a portfolio of research questions I’ve answered and the ones I’m still working on. The work clusters into three interconnected strands: education policy and data science, writing assessment and AI, and cultural analytics. Fri, 01 May 2026 16:17:48 GMT https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions-kanban https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions-kanban not started doing What would an open standard for tutoring data look like What’s so high about tutoring anyway-Dosage Quality Impact Do cosine-similarity metrics correctly identify ... Fri, 01 May 2026 16:17:48 GMT https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/education-policy/Will-new-grants-without-measurement-systems-work https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/education-policy/Will-new-grants-without-measurement-systems-work Read it in The 74 Million → Short answer: No — not unless we build the measurement infrastructure first. New federal education grants are about to be awarded to states that have no consistent way to track whether the money produces results. Fri, 01 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/education-policy/Why-is-scaling-high-dosage-tutoring-a-measurement-problem https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/education-policy/Why-is-scaling-high-dosage-tutoring-a-measurement-problem Read it on Accelerate → Short answer: The instructional case for high-dosage tutoring is settled; the bottleneck is visibility. Two AERA 2026 presentations — one on what five states have learned from two years of implementation, the other on the quality of the federal ESSER expenditure record — converge on the same point: without interoperable, trustworthy data, neither states nor researchers can see what is working, and what cannot be seen cannot be scaled. Mon, 27 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/How-did-Disney-come-to-dominate-the-box-office https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/How-did-Disney-come-to-dominate-the-box-office Read it in Reel Metrics → Short answer: Disney’s acquisitions of Pixar (2006), Marvel (2009), Lucasfilm (2012), and Fox (2019) roughly doubled its domestic share from ~14% (2000-07) ... Tue, 21 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/education-policy/How-usable-is-the-federal-ESSER-expenditure-dataset-for-research https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/education-policy/How-usable-is-the-federal-ESSER-expenditure-dataset-for-research Short answer: Two parallel audits — Benford’s Law distortion diagnostics and missingness analysis — show the federal Year-4 ESSER expenditure release fails conformity even when ... Sat, 11 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/Why-are-movies-getting-longer https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/Why-are-movies-getting-longer Read it in Reel Metrics → Short answer: Four follow-ups to Stephen Follows’s runtime analysis using the CPRF Movie Database. Longer films have better legs but only up to about 135 minutes. Mon, 06 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/Does-an-Oscar-nomination-boost-box-office-revenue https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/Does-an-Oscar-nomination-boost-box-office-revenue Read it in Reel Metrics → Short answer: Nominations redirect revenue from non-nominees to nominees but do not expand the total market. A regression discontinuity design across 27 ceremony years (2000-2026) finds a market share shift of +4.1 percentage points (p=0.009) with no evidence of total market growth. Sun, 15 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/How-much-is-an-Oscar-win-worth-at-the-box-office https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/How-much-is-an-Oscar-win-worth-at-the-box-office Read it in Reel Metrics → Short answer: The marginal value of the trophy itself — above and beyond the nomination bump that all nominees already received weeks earlier — is estimated ... Tue, 10 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/Does-the-Oscar-calendar-affect-the-nomination-bump https://log.jasongodfrey.info/questions/cultural-analytics/Does-the-Oscar-calendar-affect-the-nomination-bump Short answer: No. The gap between the nomination announcement and the ceremony has essentially no relationship to the size of the nomination bump. The correlation is r = 0.07 (p = 0.73) — the Academy’s calendar decisions are economically neutral. Thu, 05 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT