Short answer: Among pundits tracked across all five years (2021-2025), Scott Feinberg of The Hollywood Reporter leads with 80.4% accuracy across all 23 Oscar categories.
Key findings
- Verifiable prediction tracking: every entry requires pundit name, prediction date (pre-ceremony), source URL, actual winner
- 9 pundits tracked across the 93rd-97th Academy Awards (2021-2025)
| Rank | Pundit | Affiliation | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Feinberg | The Hollywood Reporter | 80.4% |
| 2 | Matt Neglia | Next Best Picture | 78.3% |
| 3 | James A. Molnar | The Gold Knight | 78.0% |
| 4 | Pete Hammond | Deadline | 77.4% |
| 5 | Ben Zauzmer | THR / Oscarmetrics | 77.1% |
- Hardest categories: Best Documentary Short (48.6%), Best Actress (52.6%)
- Easiest categories: Best Director (100%), Best Supporting Actor (100%)
- Hardest year: 2025 (97th Oscars)
Publication
CPRF Substack. Full scorecard with every miss documented.